Meteorologists reckon that Fargo-Moorhead faces a 96 percent chance of witnessing a major flood this spring.

The moisture base, including the wettest winter on record, seems to virtually assure the Red River will reach major flood stage, 30 feet or more.

But in terms of the historical record, a major flood this year, on the heels of last year’s record flood, would appear to be slim.

In Fargo, back-to-back major floods have occurred only three times in the 113 years of recorded meteorological history, figures compiled by the North Dakota state climatologist show.

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